22 May 2018

Fiat Italy (Model) : 2012-17


Fiat is a mainstream brand fighting in an area where competition is high and profits are a challenge, especially in Europe. In its home market, Fiat takes slightly more than 20% share. That's a good result although whether that is achieved with reasonable margins I don't know.

The tiny Panda is the big volume model, then comes the 500 variants and the compact Tipo. The Punto is on the way out and the rest are small in volume. Fiat specialise in small models and a larger car would be a welcome edition to the range, although in Italy it wouldn't be a big seller. Perhaps a collaboration such as the 124 Spider could be useful.

The figures below include the Abarth range.

Model/Year 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
Panda/Seiciento 146,062 147,360 127,460 105,255 101,681 117,772
500 58,564 49,329 44,179 45,676 42,322 43,012
Tipo/Bravo/a/Stilo 56,060 31,612 839 1,917 6,203 10,983
500L 46,461 54,748 51,837 52,729 38,229 6,159
500X 45,795 46,240 32,587 97

Punto 37,265 45,239 58,295 59,266 64,200 80,035
Qubo 10,047 8,984 6,978 6,873 8,957 10,781
Doblò 3,592 3,823 4,014 2,645 3,383 3,617
124 Spider 2,022 965



Freemont/Ulysse
1,436 5,703 8,494 10,681 14,417
Sedici

29 1,377 3,097 4,850
Idea


16 2,878
Other 11 13 3 9 21 8
Total 405,879 389,749 331,924 284,338 278,790 294,512
% of total 20.4% 21.1% 20.9% 20.7% 21.2% 20.8%

19 May 2018

Human Nature & Driving

When a human is driving a car, they have their hands on the steering wheel, feeling the car react as the wheel is used. The pedals on the floor also cause fluctuations in velocity. The human is then connected to the job at hand and is fully involved. Of course distractions, over confidence and other factors can intervene, which can lead to accidents. However, a driver feeling the car respond to inputs they make keeps the person engaged.

We are seeing cars being released to the public with Autopilot. They work well on aeroplanes although used for the boring flying parts. I've seen videos showing a pilot asleep while the plane is in autopilot. So how do car drivers react to autopilot? I'm a human so I know.

Once the hands and feet disengage from the controls, the driver immediately starts to disengage from driving. It is impossible for a human to sit in a car, passively allowing the car to be driven for them and remain fully alert. They will not be able to react to a situation anywhere near as quickly and efficiently than they would if they were driving. Even the most alert passive driver will be affected, and the longer they are passive, the harder it will get.

Then there are those who won't remain passively alert at all. They will find other things to do. Read, text, snooze, turn to talk to other passengers, try to find something in their glove box, look at what's going on around them.

Amazingly, some people don't get this, or don't want to get it. They are the people behind making the car self driving. I've discussed some of the problems associated with that at other times (see under label "Safety') but this is focusing on Autopilot. Here is a recent case:

Reports state that a Tesla Model S that went through a red light and crashed into a stationary fire truck at high speed was in Autopilot mode. The driver told police she was looking at her phone prior to the collision and estimated her speed at 60 mph.

The company that makes the car warns drivers using this mode to remain alert and active and to be prepared to take action at any time. You couldn't make this up. No understanding of human nature with that instruction. How can you remain active while the car drives for you? Personally I wouldn't use Autopilot if my car had that feature. It doesn't work with a human driver. There are also too many variables with motoring. I like to keep control because I want to remain actively alert. I cannot do that while the car drives for me.

18 May 2018

BMW Group Plant Production : 2016-17


Production for the BMW Group was up 6% in 2017. Just under half of the total volume was in Germany's four facilities. It was over 50% until 2015 and over 60% in 2010. China is still just 16% but growing. There are plans to make the MINI in China too.

There are also plants that make components and the like but this list is for car making facilities. The operations in China are in co-operation with Brilliance China Automotive Holdings. The 'Other Plants' at the bottom of the chart are located in Egypt, Indonesia, Malaysia and Russia.

Nation / Plant 2017 % +/-
2016 % +/-
BMW Group Plants
Germany 1,157,337 46.2% 1%
1,149,379 48.7% 3%
Dingolfing 376,580
339,769
Regensburg 338,259 346,291
Leipzig 246,043 246,550
Munich 196,455 216,769
China 396,749 15.8% 30% 305,726 13.0% 6%
Tiexi 269,309
161,901
Dadong 127,440 143,825
USA 371,316 14.8% -10% 411,171 17.4% 3%
Spartanburg 371,316
411,171
UK 227,125 9.1% 6% 215,150 9.1% 5%
Oxford 223,817
210,971
Goodwood 3,308 4,179
RSA 53,105 2.1% -16% 63,117 2.7% -12%
Rosslyn 53,105
63,117
Thailand 21,084 0.8% 18% 17,844 0.8% 100%
Rayong 21,084
17,844
Brazil 12,768 0.5% -17% 15,408 0.7% 55%
Araquari 12,768
15,408
India 8,952 0.4% 4% 8,568 0.4% 11%
Chennai 8,952
8,568
Partner Plants
Netherlands 168,969 6.7% 93%
87,609 3.7% 54%
Born 168,969
87,609
Austria 50,272 2.0% -6% 53,528 2.3% -35%
Graz 50,272
53,528
Other Plants 38,064 1.5 18% 32,256 1.4% 19%
Various 38,064
32,256
Total 2,505,741
6%
2,359,756
4%

Data source: BMW Group