26 December 2018

The Rest Car/Vehicle Production By Nation : 2016-17


I've already covered West Europe, East Europe, the Americas and Asia. What's left is here. It's growing quite quickly but overall it is a very small part of the global enterprise that is vehicle manufacturing.

Cars: A major part of the figures below is Iran. However, it is vulnerable to US pressure not to trade with the country so I assume the numbers will drop substantially for 2018. Australia is also going to drop but in addition, disappear as it ends its car production. Morocco and Algeria look in a good position though. Egypt has been sliding for some time.

Back in the year 2000, Australia was the biggest car manufacturing nation listed under 'The Rest' with 36% of the total but now has all but gone. It wasn't competitive with high wage costs and an unfavourable exchange rate so couldn't survive without protection or subsidies.

16 17 Nation 2017 % +/-
2016 % +/-
1 1 Iran 1,418,550 63.3% 19% 1,188,072 58.3% 34%
3 2 Morocco 341,802 15.3% 9% 313,868 15.4% 21%
2 3 South Africa 321,358 14.3% -4% 335,539 16.5% -2%
4 4 Australia 88,198 3.9% -41% 149,000 7.3% -7%
5 5 Algeria 60,606 2.7% 44% 42,008 2.1% 117%
6 6 Egypt 9,970 0.4% -9% 10,930 0.5% -9%

Total 2,240,484 10% 2,039,417 22%

SA x2 27,440 1.2% 28,660 1.4%

Vehicles: Not much changes here despite 440,000 units added. South Africa's commercial vehicle manufacturing attracts a high double count figure as local content cannot be that high. 

16 17 Nation 2017 % +/-
2016 % +/-
1 1 Iran 1,515,396 56.6% 18% 1,282,172 52.0% 31%
2 2 South Africa 589,951 22.0% -2% 599,004 24.3% -3%
3 3 Morocco 376,296 14.1% 9% 345,106 14.0% 20%
4 4 Australia 98,632 3.7% -39% 161,294 6.5% -7%
5 5 Algeria 60,606 2.3% 44% 42,008 1.7% 117%
6 6 Egypt 36,640 1.4% 1% 36,230 1.5% 1%

Total 2,677,521 9% 2,465,814 17%

SA x2 134,140 5.0% 120,720 4.9%

Data source: OICA.

24 December 2018

Asia Car/Vehicle Production By Nation : 2016-17


This region has the most protected car industry in the world. I personally find it indefensible that Asia is so pro-export and so against two-way trade. Admittedly, some poorer Asian countries would lose their industry without protection, but others simply don't need protecting.

China is removing some and that is a move in the right direction but it needs no protection at all so the sooner that it ceases altogether, the better. Japan stifles imports indirectly while India, Thailand and South Korea do it openly for no reason that can now be justified. I'm not getting political here, just pointing out one area of many of self-interest in world trade.

Cars: China has been increasing with extreme haste but 2017 showed signs of what had to happen eventually. A ceiling has been reached and reduced numbers can be expected in the future. India has passed South Korea but otherwise fairly stable. Vietnam in 2017 has to be an estimate.

16 17 Nation 2017 % +/-
2016 % +/-
1 1 China 24,806,687 56.8% 2% 24,420,744 57.1% 16%
2 2 Japan 8,347,836 19.1% 6% 7,873,886 18.4% 1%
4 3 India 3,952,550 9.0% 7% 3,707,348 8.7% 9%
3 4 South Korea 3,735,399 8.6% -3% 3,859,991 9.0% -7%
5 5 Indonesia 982,356 2.2% 1% 968,476 2.3% 17%
6 6 Thailand 818,440 1.9% 2% 805,033 1.9% 6%
7 7 Malaysia 424,880 1.0% -16% 503,771 1.2% -11%
8 8 Taiwan 230,356 0.5% -8% 251,087 0.6% -16%
9 9 Pakistan 188,690 0.4% 6% 178,718 0.4% -2%
10 10 Vietnam 145,571 0.3% 0% 145,571 0.3% 47%
11 11 Philippines 45,853 0.1% -49% 89,560 0.2% 16%
12 12 Bangladesh 580 0.0% 0% 580 0.0% 7%

Total 43,679,198 2% 42,804,765 9%

Asia x2 221,410 0.5%
213,830 0.5%

Vehicles: Even less change here, despite commercial vehicles moving up the volume by 8.5 million. The Philippine vehicle figure looks dubious considering cars fell so much. I'd wager that it went down but the source put it as level with 2016.

16 17 Nation 2017 % +/-
2016 % +/-
1 1 China 29,015,434 55.6% 3% 28,118,794 55.6% 14%
2 2 Japan 9,693,746 18.6% 5% 9,204,813 18.2% -1%
3 3 India 4,782,896 9.2% 6% 4,519,341 8.9% 9%
4 4 South Korea 4,114,913 7.9% -3% 4,228,509 8.4% -7%
5 5 Thailand 1,988,823 3.8% 2% 1,944,417 3.8% 2%
6 6 Indonesia 1,216,615 2.3% 3% 1,177,797 2.3% 7%
7 7 Malaysia 460,140 0.9% -16% 545,333 1.1% -11%
8 8 Taiwan 291,563 0.6% -6% 309,522 0.6% -12%
9 9 Vietnam 236,161 0.5% 0% 236,161 0.5% 38%
10 10 Pakistan 230,250 0.4% 7% 214,650 0.4% -7%
11 11 Philippines 116,868 0.2% 0% 116,868 0.2% 4%
12 12 Bangladesh 580 0.0% 0% 580 0.0% 7%

Total 52,147,989 3% 50,616,785 8%

Asia x2 221,410 0.4%
213,830 0.4%

Data source: OICA.